TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c21,823$11,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,857.831,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c14,476$7,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,660.6158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over49c10,272$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,271.562763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9913151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under53c9,500$5,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0351546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3005843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over48c2,332$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.887946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c2,242$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.7659441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under53c2,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0506443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a9…1221backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c1,534$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.831,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Under50c1,403$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.436048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Over47c1,315$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.893727%10 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Over43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.791384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+105.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under53c945$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.853754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.574843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over47c856.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.931250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43214447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over43c702$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.276852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c667.16$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32510742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3183946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3189445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Over46c560.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.942445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over47c531$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.435230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c523.34$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7820655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.838356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.821354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.816753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under54c368.17$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8137544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.217251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.217855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over46c320$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.815657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16212748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16211152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16228357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16213552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.213453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under57c279.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over47c279$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.074759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over47c220$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.613931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10818350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1088454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10818754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under8c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.613252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.210650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.811548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.813352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.814352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.811449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.813548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.813751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c160.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7141238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.416251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8115651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over46c148.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9611648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over32c144$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6729142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.810753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.812652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.721043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over39c105.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.137639.5%30 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9911750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under54c86.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.513149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.211652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.514145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c72.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4433851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.813853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under53c61.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3510648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.413248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.412149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.415153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.412249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.