Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa07be747d41edabe46aa16eb4997fcc3c1dc712f18286526701c7d104be2bc6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,601$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.22 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 39c | 1,780$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.44 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 1,731$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.89 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Under | 44c | 1,664$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 23c | 1,250$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.61 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 75c | 1,236$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.88 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 78c | 868$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.35 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 75c | 674.93$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 26c | 603.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.89 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 20c | 454$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.48 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 48c | 416.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 11c | 273$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 74c | 241.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 75c | 185$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 150.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 25c | 135.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 130.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 38c | 115.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…6a57backed Over | 26c | 56.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Over | 22c | 55.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -8.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…4f90backed Over | 26c | 49.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 24c | 47.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94c…57f3backed Over | 27c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…2976backed Over | 27c | 43.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e54…8f4dbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 40.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 74c | 33.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…b7c0backed Under | 75c | 19.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…3b17backed Under | 75c | 18.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…770dbacked Under | 75c | 17.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…d1ebbacked Under | 75c | 17.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…ea1abacked Under | 74c | 15.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…13cabacked Under | 75c | 15.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…b97cbacked Under | 75c | 15.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…1361backed Under | 75c | 15.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…45bebacked Under | 75c | 14.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…5cacbacked Under | 74c | 14.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…bce3backed Under | 75c | 13.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfa…a293backed Under | 75c | 13.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 79c | 13.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.