Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de12efec70cf766af39fff5feea7728b76a0ec11bba78d063001038c2473807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 3,419$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.83 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 48c | 949.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.65 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 776.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 48c | 704.17$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.17 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 646$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 48c | 503.86$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.67 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 51c | 292.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +135%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14bd…1c4cbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 173.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 147.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 101$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Yes | 48c | 82.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Yes | 48c | 68.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 53c | 62.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 46c | 61.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 43.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes | 48c | 35.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 36c | 33.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…418bbacked Yes | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked No | 49c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.