Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55e8f71a2327a25a3e680334ae81764ea5656d1c86f766d42b323fff4ccac641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 22,720$11,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,816.39 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 21,188$10,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,032.64 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…9329backed No | 44c | 1,791$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Yes | 49c | 726$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 47c | 697.8$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…9c9cbacked Yes | 56c | 657.02$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b49…cbb8backed Yes | 56c | 573.07$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…b109backed Yes | 56c | 560.61$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 395.92$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.16 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 50c | 213.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 206.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 51c | 195.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 52c | 111.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 83.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked No | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 29c | 58.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 50c | 56.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 32c | 49.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +98%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Yes | 47c | 27.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked No | 52c | 22.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.