Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e053822e7c93149b1265e77bfd462dda5952766ec96c5f6bed575c50c0ae0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 7,146$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.07 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 3,349$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.41 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,928$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.63 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 66c | 1,850$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Over | 33c | 599.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Under | 6c | 444.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 54c | 370.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Under | 51c | 294.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Over | 57c | 263.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 245.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 8c | 231.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 48c | 215$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 49c | 199.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 49c | 199.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 198.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 62c | 161.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 154.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Under | 61c | 134$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 49c | 97.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 19c | 92.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…475bbacked Under | 40c | 91.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Under | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…7e29backed Over | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 52.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Over | 53c | 41.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 33.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 40c | 31.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Under | 49c | 28.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 59c | 24.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.