Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42b1521a0c2ab514ad918602e33611869e053cba9af7372b2f25a8b5fe8c26a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Havre ACof Stade Rennais FC 1901, Le Havre AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dc5…4dd1backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Le Havre AC | 73c | 5,782$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.71 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…d640backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 34c | 5,350$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2a…e52bbacked Le Havre AC | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fef…2913backed Le Havre AC | 66c | 4,990$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e1fabacked Le Havre AC | 66c | 4,800$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed86…9f66backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 34c | 3,800$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 25c | 2,311$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.4 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…5869backed Le Havre AC | 66c | 1,860$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…db10backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 23c | 1,048$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.27 | 1,426 | 40.8%582 W · 844 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Le Havre AC | 75c | 794.73$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 34c | 611.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Le Havre AC | 65c | 517.65$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 32c | 349.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 35c | 291.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Le Havre AC | 65c | 249.15$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Le Havre AC | 69c | 240$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 36c | 91.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 36c | 88.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Le Havre AC | 64c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Le Havre AC | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…cd03backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 18c | 76.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 25c | 45.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Le Havre AC | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Le Havre AC | 76c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)this page
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.