TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$380,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over60c270,192$162,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,022.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under40c100,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under40c60,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0004052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c59,276$46,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,985.691,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c41,488$16,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,89062648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c39,188$5,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,778.341,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c13,475$5,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,047.635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under41c10,000$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.341485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+72.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.973756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c8,380$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.9871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over60c5,484$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.415156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Under40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+122.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8005060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8006060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over1c2,984$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.282119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under41c2,499$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.134362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Over72c2,119$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c1,464$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.9487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over14c1,247$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.22040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over56c1,100$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.845757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over27c670$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under42c651.83$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.726926.1%18 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over34c640.02$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.463534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over58c639.02$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.853122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3543951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.483658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over47c459$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under46c435.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9710100%10 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under40c420$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25217756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under40c420$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25213655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under40c420$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c418.31$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over20c404.51$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.252937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Under62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over33c399.39$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.81643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under40c330$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19811256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under40c330$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19811556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18010948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1808263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18010952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c235.09$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under40c220$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1329355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over59c210$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.98444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.733938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over50c195.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over21c190$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2712343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under40c190$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1148653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under40c180$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under40c180$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over28c179$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.894742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee54…5665backed Under67c171.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.524100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+166.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under40c160$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over24c133.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under44c119.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.28355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c105.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1631049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Under78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over29c99.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.774934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over31c95.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.658856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c93.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6424052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202317.4%4 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.