Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0401efa4f4e3cf06aabb68bcde3c15883e027bbd7f08f327c967a34d5f92f330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 50c | 796.18$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 41c | 630$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 60c | 550$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 48c | 549.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 274$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.81 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 52c | 264$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 80c | 207.9$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 9c | 204.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked No | 49c | 152.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 58c | 87.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…ab7cbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…6787backed Yes | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.