Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9670349714327b326aff4e437008d830d2d2256f623ac27da0c8c8f3b87ab098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 59c | 27,500$16,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,225 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 44c | 19,479$8,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,876 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 41c | 10,528$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,217 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 42c | 9,762$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.94 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 41c | 6,549$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 58c | 4,833$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 59c | 4,792$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 4,457$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.79 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 42c | 2,452$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 59c | 1,002$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.03 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…8ae2backed Over | 58c | 879.31$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 50c | 798.14$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…1e05backed Over | 58c | 791.38$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…8915backed Over | 58c | 787.93$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…47c0backed Over | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 45c | 567$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 60c | 528.33$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99dd…6f77backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0d…0d74backed Over | 58c | 503.45$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 21c | 455.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 41c | 449.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.48 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…cea3backed Over | 65c | 431.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 41c | 379.36$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 47c | 370$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 58c | 362.07$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 58c | 343.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 41c | 332.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Under | 44c | 284$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 41c | 280$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 46c | 275$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Under | 67c | 243.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 43c | 222.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 56c | 219.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 50c | 219$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 8c | 202.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 60c | 192.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 52c | 186.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 70c | 185.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 58c | 174$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 63c | 159.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…7584backed Under | 37c | 151.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 58c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 59c | 140.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…493dbacked Over | 65c | 127.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 40c | 125.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 57c | 124.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Under | 19c | 117.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 15c | 107.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5this page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.