Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7051386002e2a4d4815565df43df69652e5cf712001dd5941539c07b0cf00cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 67c | 26,408$17,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,662.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 64c | 2,462$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 38c | 1,019$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.65 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 36c | 738.89$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 27c | 707.19$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 519.91$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.56 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 35c | 483.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 33c | 416.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 33c | 360$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 37c | 337.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 36c | 317$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 63c | 280$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 36c | 275.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 63c | 169.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…2f6ebacked Under | 62c | 155$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 36c | 138.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 27c | 105.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…ec0ebacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 69c | 87.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 30c | 84.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 63c | 82.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 33c | 72.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 66c | 69.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 33c | 68.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…5623backed Under | 74c | 67.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 33c | 65.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 39c | 60.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…9e3bbacked Under | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 37c | 50.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…42fbbacked Under | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Under | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 65c | 20.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5this page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.