TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over65c21,915$14,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,244.067656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under35c18,348$6,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,926.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c12,560$5,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,247.124,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over60c8,300$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9803865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c8,294$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,792.023,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c3,006$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9741,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c2,923$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.22,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over52c2,754$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.9412132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf541…ac67backed Over75c2,628$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c2,023$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.841,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c2,016$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.9283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over65c1,874$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c1,818$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.3599933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under34c1,602$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.7732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over72c1,503$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.228756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Under35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over67c1,467$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.0813054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over40c1,340$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.645341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over65c1,274$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.273253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c1,068$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6503100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+167.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc74f…a9cebacked Over70c981.76$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c930.5$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.4564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under34c882.45$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.2340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under34c882.45$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.236660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under34c882.45$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.2323456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Over71c827.57$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over34c749$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6610418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over66c747.02$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.6811444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c711.89$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over76c648.32$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.723764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over61c640.39$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.642755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under35c596.29$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.5935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under35c576.6$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.792821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c534.94$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.321,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…0de5backed Over66c498.45$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under28c478.4$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.452259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under36c472.79$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.58933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over54c463$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.814146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89e5…6f7abacked Over67c438.9$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Over68c432.71$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.244045%18 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over49c399.12$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.833237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Over74c399.08$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over56c380.75$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.225149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under24c348.83$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8210230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over57c331.23$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.86642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c329.85$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9315451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4422157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over62c315.21$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.432272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over57c305.08$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.913354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over65c303.57$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.326962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1775944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16816149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b39…65adbacked Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over21c299.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.55435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Over68c288.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.161030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-53.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over19c285.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2311819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over50c284.45$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.625343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under29c257.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0910168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over73c256.36$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over62c240.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.324245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over80c234.25$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.45248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under48c231.22$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.723957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under35c230.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0633161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over74c218.54$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7212875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Over55c213.94$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over67c201.89$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.272864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under34c200.84$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5622448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under35c195.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.314344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over57c194.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.064247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under34c192.08$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.775650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f64…452abacked Over53c184.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7b…b21ebacked Under26c183.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.99922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…1d22backed Over58c179.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under33c174.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.922330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under36c164.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2920050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under35c163.59$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3319260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under34c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed Over73c148.59$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0813668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under33c143.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.637861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over67c140$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over65c138.66$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.131546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over58c137.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9322729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under35c137.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2219555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c134.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7868450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over53c132.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under34c131.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3822446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over66c130.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.972075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over47c123.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3819258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under38c114.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9328446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over36c107.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.545841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under23c103.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.835955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under48c100.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under41c95.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.681662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over56c90.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.955339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over57c88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9612044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.