TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c9,706$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.4312132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under62c8,554$5,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c5,974$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.941,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under61c5,373$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.73785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c4,611$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.63,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under61c4,175$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.242,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c3,230$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.764,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over39c2,938$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.424540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over27c2,028$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.6710418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over18c2,001$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.861,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7606640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over40c1,639$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.525341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over38c1,443$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3711741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over48c1,434$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under62c1,394$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.651,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over40c1,378$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.291631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46864457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under62c1,100$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4187851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under62c1,067$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.936160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c1,014$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.181,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over37c962.19$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.017656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under61c845.37$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5148251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73c…21f2backed Over39c748.49$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.485143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over49c554.66$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4211929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over34c514.1$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.798041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c506.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5617128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Over39c494.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.681020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under64c486$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under51c470.5$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.772850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under67c450.08$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2241751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Over40c362.19$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.591464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over40c361.74$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.63740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over40c361.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.66750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under62c348.07$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.278353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c337.17$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.941,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under62c306.73$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5648153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c302.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3215451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under65c293.7$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.795366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.168432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c254.17$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over39c245.67$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.812157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under68c244.93$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over36c238.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.163839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over38c213.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2222446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over36c189.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.271963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over38c182.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.323154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over36c173.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.55841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c155.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.061,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over31c155.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.029423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over41c153.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.693033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under60c149.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over42c146.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.843850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over39c146$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over24c124.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6510127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over32c121.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over36c116.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0619260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under67c109.94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.96060%36 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under60c108.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6622753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Over34c102.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.931118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under62c99.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over36c98.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5815832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Over39c98.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over39c98.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.547865.4%51 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under62c97.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1316342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under61c97.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.095461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over36c93.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6611741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over38c93.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6137348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under66c92.49$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0522729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2c…28e4backed Over39c86.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over38c83.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7732444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over40c79.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Under52c78.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.653435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over38c76.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8820441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over30c74.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.393565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over34c70.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.013036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under61c69.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9312863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under61c67.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.127653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.044052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under64c63.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7216860.1%101 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under61c62.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Over39c61.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.093342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under61c59.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over32c59.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over26c55.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.334623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Under61c54.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.141070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over34c53.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.258641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over36c53.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.235650%28 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Over36c52.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.262458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under59c49.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6df…e2aabacked Over39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2730842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.272744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over40c48.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.286243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.