La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396c79c8a785979d7d319cbb18f7dcf12366faaf436c67e4f2824aec91e58f67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Getafe CFof Real Sociedad de Fútbol, Getafe CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 19c | 1,085$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Getafe CF | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Getafe CF | 80c | 640.86$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Getafe CF | 79c | 623.81$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Getafe CF | 79c | 622.47$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 19c | 570.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Getafe CF | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 19c | 232.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Getafe CF | 80c | 120.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 15c | 101.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 15c | 69.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 19c | 67.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.