TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed Under1c13,881$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.815538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c6,883$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.814,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over69c4,999$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.846468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over77c3,853$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.854358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under34c2,980$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.6492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c2,964$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.83,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6c…8ce4backed Over75c1,316$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16220%0 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c983.98$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd7…6e6ebacked Over60c927.2$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over75c920.41$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.952147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under27c788.8$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.019629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c741.27$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.162,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over58c672.28$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3611444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under25c671.22$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.748153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over76c664.48$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over74c660.73$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.458246.3%38 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c573.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.171,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c551.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.271,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under23c550.37$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8441751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c533.99$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9618656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c530.21$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over75c525.33$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.335862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under22c516.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.64942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under25c391.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under11c378.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over75c361.17$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2922450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over70c350.71$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.215343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under29c331.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.735050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over62c322.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5413626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under29c287.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.42040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under6c283.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over71c276.78$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.263366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6722157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Under30c244.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.963441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over78c242.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.317255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over64c240$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.43953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c234.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under25c227.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.541,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Over73c210.49$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.03785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over79c207.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5722553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick5cpaid+283.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under20c172.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4410944%48 W · 61 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over70c166$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7145841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc455…1532backed Over63c152.46$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under24c148.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1228138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under7c147.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under25c132$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under29c130.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.262934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under30c122.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.173050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over74c122.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.216100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7075…0a8dbacked Over68c105.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Under23c103.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over66c103.16$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.22564%16 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over75c101.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under27c95.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.924344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…eb2abacked Under11c94.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over77c93.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.493259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffd…fa8ebacked Over79c92.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.481250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under14c84.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0537348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over74c79.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.755371.7%38 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c76.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Over70c70.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Under31c69.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.633063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over74c66.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.294555.6%25 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over73c47.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.852955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under26c44.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Over68c44.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over70c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under27c39.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.682050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x677c…6b53backed Over75c39.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over73c39.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b2e…885cbacked Under34c38.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over76c32.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7821457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over63c31.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.531747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Over79c28.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.08966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d84…7b78backed Over75c27.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.852759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9222366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7612958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Over64c22.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b44…8bdebacked Over72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over61c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.813760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over75c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.923655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over79c18.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9714140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over75c16.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.232572%18 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.