Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629a8f32dd6de8d771ebbc268c44325239df9f16dc597d0f6ca29d12e6380ec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 50c | 3,750$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,310$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.91 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 1,396$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.82 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 24c | 862.71$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.48 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 45c | 731.55$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 604.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.56 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 502.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 52c | 408.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 346.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 41c | 324.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…130bbacked Over | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 21c | 274.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 274.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Over | 80c | 230.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 22c | 224.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 78c | 223.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 80c | 213.15$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 20c | 162.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 147.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 34c | 143.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 137.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 73c | 134.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 73c | 134.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Under | 73c | 134.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 57c | 129.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 74c | 118.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 31c | 114.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 42c | 103.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 95.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 95.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 78c | 94.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 46c | 94.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 94.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 81.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 79.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 20c | 73.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 41c | 71.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 71.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 27c | 71.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 55c | 69.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 43c | 67.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 43c | 49.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 55c | 40.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 40c | 39.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…452abacked Over | 51c | 38.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 37.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 60c | 27.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 25.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 68c | 20.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.