Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358b057d36f0ee944fd2d11de068caee0ce3a7073ffc33a0db103aa595eac950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris FCof Lille OSC, Paris FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lille OSC | 45c | 1,583$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.33 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Paris FC | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Paris FC | 52c | 1,028$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.66 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lille OSC | 46c | 603.01$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.16 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Paris FC | 69c | 300.09$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Lille OSC | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Paris FC | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lille OSC | 30c | 172.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Lille OSC | 26c | 146.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Paris FC | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Lille OSC | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lille OSC | 33c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Lille OSC | 32c | 54.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d50…0858backed Lille OSC | 33c | 46.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Lille OSC | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Lille OSC | 29c | 43.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Paris FC | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Paris FC | 69c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Paris FC | 66c | 24.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lille OSC | 47c | 23.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Paris FC | 69c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.