TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0ff…9953backed Under64c6,583$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.151154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c4,136$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.791,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c3,908$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.329458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over52c3,761$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,997$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.061,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.983461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over11c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.993964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under44c1,723$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.683250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c1,632$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.4133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,546$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.8852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over57c1,538$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.784143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over22c1,488$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.33205%1 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-84.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over47c1,211$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.121855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c996.81$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.5126354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under46c975.18$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.612738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Over35c804.06$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over22c767.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1726046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over42c712.77$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.212454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over25c711$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over52c695.77$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.81030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over56c695.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3b…7928backed Over55c687.34$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under61c640.39$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over52c553.38$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.192035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c549.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.29920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c507.51$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c488.07$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over54c488.07$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.569960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over55c486.5$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.584161%25 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over55c482.8$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.541050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c475.37$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Over47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.641030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over3c398.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over54c306.13$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under58c292.44$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.823100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c249.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.516448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Under47c247.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over47c206.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.811233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over54c192.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c163.29$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4421143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.424051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78d…130bbacked Over33c145.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c145.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7622340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over54c138.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.872445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over45c113.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under47c98.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.191942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under47c98.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.198056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under53c91.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.622934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under55c88.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1616224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Over27c85.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-55.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.713351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over54c75.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.998644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over28c71.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7422854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under64c67.27$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Under46c64.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under45c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.656132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c61.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.845151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over43c58.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Under55c56.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over56c55.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1511044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over43c54.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.552147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Over54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.171250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under55c51.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over29c49.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under55c49.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.291050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd99a…1f3ebacked Under47c49.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over63c46.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over46c41.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.364557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under43c41.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.755257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.847058.6%41 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under47c40.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over54c36.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.955354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.456159%36 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.453148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.463056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c32.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.017648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7af…1802backed Over54c29.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c9…bf73backed Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…e6dbbacked Over48c28.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb006…3458backed Over52c27.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over56c26.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c25.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2724052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa434…e508backed Under52c25.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ca…e92bbacked Over56c24.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under47c24.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883086.7%26 W · 4 L+9.2wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+62.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under47c24.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.818150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Under45c23.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under62c22.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.596759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over60c20.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.328643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under70c19.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Over55c19.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.76850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.