Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe262a4b7bf37ca6c2324ae874cc639801ecad4d0d2cb2a4bfd2ba71fc23481bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,753$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.08 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 1,738$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.15 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 1,051$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.09 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 650.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 56c | 640.57$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Yes | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 587.64$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.25 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 432.25$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 45c | 390.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 351.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.03 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 301.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 285.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 263.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 56c | 134.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 54c | 113.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 54c | 108.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 75c | 102.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 56c | 81.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 56c | 77.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Yes | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 64.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 56c | 54.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 49c | 45.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 55c | 44.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 55c | 40.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…419bbacked Yes | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 44c | 36.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…b813backed Yes | 57c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 50c | 29.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 28.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 44c | 27.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Yes | 56c | 26.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 56c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 23.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.