South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb44f9e72ea2cbbcd4b51b7ecaf770edc9339b6eb0045857405efab1e6f683111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 3,970$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,385$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 1,092$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.72 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 46c | 641.54$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 17c | 541.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 55c | 536.78$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.23 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 339.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 15c | 218.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 206.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…0cd4backed Over | 54c | 161.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 53c | 118$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Over | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 46c | 52.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 23c | 51.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 49.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 44c | 41.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Over | 54c | 33.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 55c | 32.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 56c | 18.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.