South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a812fbccce56445adfa74a100fd44ddf6872966f9d32130091e8693075164e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 4,534$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 4,232$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.72 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 68c | 755.65$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Over | 31c | 397.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 69c | 341.1$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 69c | 239.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 192.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 68c | 181.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 69c | 108$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 66c | 90.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 69c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed Over | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 31c | 51.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 34c | 49.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…8fa3backed Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked Over | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…9229backed Over | 31c | 31.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 68c | 31.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…0ecabacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 67c | 20.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.