TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Pacific Tigers vs. Portland Pilots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portland Pilotsof Pacific Tigers, Portland Pilots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Portland Pilots51c12,891$6,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,323.2869142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Pacific Tigers72c5,510$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.81850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Pacific Tigers50c5,284$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.846446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pacific Tigers46c3,889$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.081,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Portland Pilots8c2,899$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.81,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Pacific Tigers14c2,729$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.545024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Portland Pilots49c2,078$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Portland Pilots41c1,221$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.276852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Portland Pilots59c1,050$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.5972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Pacific Tigers12c1,034$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0613313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Portland Pilots75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacific Tigers50c974.56$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.25,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Pacific Tigers10c900$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.618814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Portland Pilots59c842.8$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.52,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pacific Tigers44c558.4$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.881,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Pacific Tigers60c499.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.855831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pacific Tigers58c495.79$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.561,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Portland Pilots42c482$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.572,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Portland Pilots4c443.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9824121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Pacific Tigers45c433.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.072,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Pacific Tigers27c400.9$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Portland Pilots68c396.84$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.471662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Pacific Tigers49c343.8$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9415861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Pacific Tigers42c328.27$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5136942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Pacific Tigers19c306.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3114021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Portland Pilots4c240$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304522.2%10 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacific Tigers32c235.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.061,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45cd…5285backed Pacific Tigers33c220$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Pacific Tigers64c215.43$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.481154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Portland Pilots43c201.86$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0653646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Portland Pilots6c200$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacific Tigers57c199.05$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…74dabacked Portland Pilots67c190$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Portland Pilots29c176.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.472,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Portland Pilots45c141.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Portland Pilots67c137.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.141,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pacific Tigers52c132.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9645953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e75…6e08backed Pacific Tigers21c120.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Pacific Tigers58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.615250%76 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe3…f62ebacked Pacific Tigers68c113.79$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Pilots63c103.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.64,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Portland Pilots43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda0b…ac7dbacked Portland Pilots78c95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland Pilots61c91.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.094,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Portland Pilots58c87.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Portland Pilots12c86.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2711743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Portland Pilots37c80.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4712733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Portland Pilots41c74.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Pacific Tigers34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Pacific Tigers16c64.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Portland Pilots64c64.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.119050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13bc…2d19backed Portland Pilots21c64.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Pacific Tigers75c60.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.52055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Pacific Tigers20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107017.1%12 W · 58 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Portland Pilots63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Pacific Tigers28c49.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9613219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Portland Pilots51c49.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.122948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Pacific Tigers44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Portland Pilots31c43.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.199412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Portland Pilots46c42.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.833452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ce…5306backed Pacific Tigers63c41.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…89c2backed Pacific Tigers47c40.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Portland Pilots51c38.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.947557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Portland Pilots57c35.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.224360.5%26 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Pacific Tigers58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4744955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Portland Pilots38c32.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.244330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Portland Pilots67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Pacific Tigers58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.414846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacific Tigers58c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.245,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa46e…b3dabacked Portland Pilots77c26.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba34…7e93backed Portland Pilots63c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Portland Pilots65c21.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5618241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Pacific Tigers59c21.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b5…e32dbacked Pacific Tigers53c18.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9087…d582backed Pacific Tigers58c17.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb768…b6f7backed Portland Pilots72c14.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.