Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3489c4fe1ab61ddae8dd62ea23d434759506e69e45c46591a4a4fd34207918b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $543,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fdd…a747backed Yes | 63c | 158,185$99,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,522.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 37c | 45,991$17,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,974.12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Yes | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,399.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 32,951$20,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,701.53 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…7eeebacked Yes | 7c | 31,410$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 37c | 21,544$8,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,533.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 16,569$8,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,927.11 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 15,125$6,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,272.37 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 66c | 14,778$9,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,753.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 14,459$6,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,120.75 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,439.94 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 11,708$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,319.91 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 38c | 7,665$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 55c | 7,233$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 6,823$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.3 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,800$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…6c04backed Yes | 20c | 4,806$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 62c | 3,384$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 37c | 2,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 37c | 2,495$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.85 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 15c | 2,440$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.67 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 2,315$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.81 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 43c | 2,301$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 39c | 1,952$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.26 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 21c | 1,942$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 56c | 1,784$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 62c | 1,766$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.65 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 1,525$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.96 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,504$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 40c | 1,498$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 37c | 1,445$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 34c | 1,400$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.08 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 31c | 1,400$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 63c | 1,375$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 62c | 1,334$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 59c | 1,333$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.06 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 37c | 1,285$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Yes | 64c | 1,227$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Yes | 62c | 1,221$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…17a4backed Yes | 63c | 1,111$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 63c | 1,103$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.19 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Yes | 58c | 1,056$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,023$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 62c | 999.92$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 38c | 999$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 57c | 880.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 33c | 852$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 62c | 825.04$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.1 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 59c | 813.56$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…324abacked Yes | 63c | 796.78$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 2c | 702.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 72c | 699.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…c918backed Yes | 63c | 630.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.40per pick | 48cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 58c | 583.04$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 33c | 568.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 38c | 554.56$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.11 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 58c | 545.94$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 13c | 539.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 47c | 528.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 59c | 504.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…dca5backed Yes | 30c | 499.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 50c | 482.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 63c | 480$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 78c | 478.01$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 3c | 478$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 8c | 473.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Yes | 63c | 464.82$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.54 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 51c | 399.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 63c | 378.05$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.89 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 5c | 371.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes | 62c | 369.35$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 20c | 362$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 66c | 361.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…5142backed Yes | 17c | 354.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 57c | 348.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 50c | 345$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 39c | 339.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 62c | 330.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 63c | 330.5$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…b53dbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 59c | 310$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 296.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 89 | 6.7%6 W · 83 L | -22.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 29c | 267.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…f5efbacked No | 50c | 244.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed No | 70c | 239.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 63c | 238$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.