Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707cc53d5ff8102e7f9c15f2b845f2bed0ecda9ac3bd475e6f32f99c46990960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 19c | 17,547$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 70c | 2,273$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 2,084$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 69c | 1,893$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.83 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,368$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 16c | 926.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 26c | 755.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 719$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.08 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 25c | 699.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 623.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 478.12$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 473$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 29c | 463.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 359$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Yes | 28c | 327.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 77c | 323.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 279$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 77c | 259.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 32c | 254.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 30c | 248$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…4bfebacked Yes | 30c | 241.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…b53dbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 22c | 200.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…1285backed Yes | 13c | 170.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 167.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 74c | 162.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…d219backed Yes | 32c | 160.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 145.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…d968backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7348…4dcebacked Yes | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 27c | 134.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 33c | 134.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 74c | 114$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 20c | 110.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 14c | 101.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes | 26c | 100.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…7d74backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 34c | 97.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 27c | 93.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 19c | 84.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 20c | 75.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 20c | 74.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 34c | 73.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 63.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 21c | 62.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 33c | 60.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…3e2dbacked Yes | 32c | 56.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…8b85backed Yes | 36c | 55.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…d46fbacked Yes | 26c | 53.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 75c | 48.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 76c | 45.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 25c | 42.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 74c | 40.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e0f5backed No | 74c | 40.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…2750backed Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 77c | 38.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked No | 77c | 33.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…4eb5backed No | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.