Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e0b41dbc24097018adac028cfdc834307d763edcddf094b083eb3d1a7a78af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 5c | 4,600$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.57 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 4c | 4,009$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 16c | 2,072$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 3c | 1,768$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 14c | 1,679$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 1,246$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.34 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 79c | 1,000$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.3 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 16c | 900.11$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 893.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Yes | 6c | 806.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…ac96backed Yes | 2c | 529.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 432$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…8380backed Yes | 7c | 312.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 4c | 304.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…5af1backed Yes | 7c | 272.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…5c90backed Yes | 7c | 224.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…3a90backed Yes | 23c | 222$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 189.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed No | 80c | 176.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a6f4backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 20c | 111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7f3bbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 20c | 63.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 22c | 58.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed Yes | 78c | 13.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.