Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Iona Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a13ebe1a08d95b6c39a40c0bafb8bb2d9a568b85a4da1a433448e937391bb2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iona Gaelsof Niagara Purple Eagles, Iona Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 2,537$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 1,186$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 18c | 770$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 614.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 18c | 498$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 396.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 238$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 220.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…6d5cbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 193.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 11c | 160.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 154.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 95.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 90.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 14c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 72.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Iona Gaelsthis page
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-10.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.