NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df5dcf303454c2087067fc4b27201a741707fb8dd768e6d96c24c7eb7adea63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,092,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,192,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,092,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 34c | 192,230$65,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,999.86 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Suns | 66c | 136,364$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,363.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 66,254$24,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,267.86 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Suns | 67c | 58,442$39,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,285.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Grizzlies | 33c | 45,596$14,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,858.51 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Suns | 65c | 33,819$22,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,685.21 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 64c | 30,618$19,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,022.46 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Suns | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.92 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies | 34c | 29,400$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.94 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 78c | 17,154$13,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 32c | 16,400$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 67c | 15,578$10,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.99 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 24c | 15,509$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.77 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Suns | 68c | 13,937$9,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,515.28 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 33c | 13,733$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.03 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Suns | 68c | 13,288$9,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies | 32c | 13,260$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies | 32c | 11,384$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.89 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Grizzlies | 33c | 10,754$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.7 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 66c | 10,462$6,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Grizzlies | 32c | 8,222$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Grizzlies | 37c | 6,757$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Suns | 66c | 6,689$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Suns | 69c | 5,652$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.17 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Suns | 68c | 5,649$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 67c | 5,630$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.41 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies | 0c | 5,571$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Suns | 70c | 5,558$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 70c | 5,436$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Suns | 70c | 5,217$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.87 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Grizzlies | 1c | 5,092$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Suns | 63c | 5,091$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Suns | 68c | 4,818$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.82 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 15c | 4,575$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies | 35c | 4,501$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.35 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 67c | 4,466$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.26 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Suns | 80c | 4,425$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.3 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Suns | 77c | 4,396$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Suns | 63c | 4,110$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.7 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 64c | 4,010$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.5 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Grizzlies | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Grizzlies | 38c | 3,771$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.6 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 3,685$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 34c | 3,638$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Suns | 68c | 3,430$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Suns | 78c | 3,409$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.14 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Suns | 68c | 3,300$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Suns | 68c | 3,300$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Suns | 66c | 3,029$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.78 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Grizzlies | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Suns | 69c | 2,980$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.79 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…a536backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,900$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 2,640$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Suns | 66c | 2,579$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.8 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Grizzlies | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 2,456$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 2,432$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Suns | 67c | 2,200$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Suns | 68c | 2,186$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.73 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,182$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.91 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 33c | 2,120$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,062$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,985$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.21 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,940$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.28 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,926$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,732$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.06 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Grizzlies | 18c | 1,671$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Suns | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.11 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Suns | 63c | 1,585$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.66 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 67c | 1,579$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Suns | 66c | 1,567$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.44 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Suns | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…481cbacked Suns | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Grizzlies | 32c | 1,495$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.42 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,368$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Suns | 66c | 1,355$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.82 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…0d27backed Grizzlies | 38c | 1,340$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies | 21c | 1,323$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.83 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…9452backed Suns | 62c | 1,309$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,258$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Grizzlies | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Grizzlies | 38c | 1,240$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Suns | 64c | 1,225$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.17 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,223$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.51 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,205$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f25…a115backed Suns | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,199$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.63 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Suns | 68c | 1,173$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.36 | 282 | 49.6%140 W · 142 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.