NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aaff9f2b9e2dff2f86755244dcb284861f24f2f3e832a69ba2ca6b9964c82e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 47c | 106,725$50,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,646.13 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 90,080$47,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,742.14 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 11,581$6,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 4,203$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Under | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.92 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 3,028$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,005$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 56c | 1,554$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.44 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 957.58$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 54c | 742.55$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.55 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 596$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.76 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 54c | 353.63$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 179.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 54c | 142.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…6f35backed Over | 54c | 87.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 53c | 85.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 58c | 70.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 57c | 69.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 44c | 31.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. GrizzliesSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.