NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62dc3b3f60a61194ebb49d11b91c8a0b9ff3a322b92d87b2f08ed672d582936d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc79d…ca80backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…280abacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…3ba8backed Over | 51c | 8,100$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Over | 51c | 8,100$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Under | 49c | 8,100$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…d7d5backed Under | 49c | 8,100$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…5626backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,750$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…7a4ebacked Over | 53c | 1,546$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,516$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.93 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.63 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 1,276$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 1,143$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 4c | 869.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 628.51$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 566.26$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Over | 53c | 561.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…51c9backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 47c | 555.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.32 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 4c | 551.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 55c | 550.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Over | 41c | 482$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 295$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 47c | 263.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 255.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 239.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 239.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 233.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 59c | 183.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 151.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 50c | 139.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 45c | 139.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…4cccbacked Over | 53c | 92.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…77e7backed Under | 49c | 85.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 83.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 74.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580f…afb5backed Over | 53c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 52c | 68.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8553…4e7abacked Under | 49c | 66.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 60.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 36c | 41.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Under | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Under | 55c | 31.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 62c | 30.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 53c | 29.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…2270backed Over | 53c | 26.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Over | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Over | 54c | 21.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…c927backed Under | 49c | 20.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. GrizzliesSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.