TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,524 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Suns50c15,000$7,500 inWon+$7,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns53c14,502$7,621 inWon+$6,881.742,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies48c9,476$4,540 inLost-$4,540.412,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies49c8,530$4,149 inLost-$4,149.111,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies50c7,999$4,000 inLost-$3,999.51,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Suns51c5,681$2,918 inWon+$2,762.8525753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns52c4,882$2,553 inWon+$2,328.84,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies47c3,966$1,864 inLost-$1,864.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies47c3,209$1,492 inLost-$1,492.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Suns50c3,063$1,531 inWon+$1,531.3851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Suns52c2,300$1,196 inWon+$1,103.841,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies34c1,586$536 inLost-$535.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Grizzlies50c1,400$700 inLost-$70017344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Suns68c999.58$680 inWon+$319.8748957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Grizzlies50c800$400 inLost-$4006344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Suns50c659.4$332 inWon+$327.852,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Suns57c497.95$282 inWon+$215.9514054.3%76 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Grizzlies46c400$184 inLost-$18440243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Suns51c393$200 inWon+$192.573050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns50c388$194 inWon+$1942,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies43c270.99$117 inLost-$116.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies46c224.5$102 inLost-$102.283,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Suns68c200.42$136 inWon+$64.133661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Grizzlies10c200$20 inLost-$2017527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Grizzlies49c102.04$50 inLost-$508041.3%33 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Grizzlies21c93.78$20 inLost-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Grizzlies50c70$35 inLost-$351,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Grizzlies53c69.81$37 inLost-$3725056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Suns54c64.81$35 inWon+$29.8137755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Suns54c45.22$24 inWon+$20.752,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Grizzlies50c40$20 inLost-$2017349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb768…b6f7backed Grizzlies48c37.79$18 inLost-$18.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Grizzlies48c33$16 inLost-$15.8437949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed Suns54c30.5$16 inWon+$14.125457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.