TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdff8…aaaebacked Canucks43c43,682$18,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,783.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks46c22,542$10,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,411.041,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars57c15,000$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,45042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Stars57c12,571$7,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,405.522550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Canucks48c10,319$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.532339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars57c9,498$5,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.991,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Stars53c6,368$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.127143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Canucks7c6,321$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4638748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars57c6,116$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.821,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Canucks43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.9910352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars57c5,364$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stars61c5,040$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.572,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Stars57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Stars59c4,975$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.3938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars58c4,658$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.4186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars53c4,522$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.321,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars58c4,168$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.083,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Canucks47c4,055$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.7930447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Canucks43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Stars53c3,777$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.1913363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Canucks45c3,614$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.1310658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stars54c3,528$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.352,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Stars57c3,338$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.244339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars60c3,047$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.1861848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Stars57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2903959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Stars57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2902454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Stars57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2902962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Canucks41c2,890$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.7470547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Stars54c2,618$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.0775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Canucks43c2,610$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.0910565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Stars65c2,537$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.3658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Canucks47c2,486$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…991bbacked Canucks43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Canucks28c2,233$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.9511051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Stars68c2,163$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.29949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Canucks43c2,000$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.7711946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Stars57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9926547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Canucks42c1,994$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.4210356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stars56c1,846$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.162,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Stars57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3915954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Stars57c1,704$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.5593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stars56c1,680$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.5599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Stars76c1,635$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.866065%39 W · 21 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+99.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Canucks42c1,457$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9457453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Canucks43c1,365$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.9497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Canucks43c1,216$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.4162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Stars75c1,205$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9216766.5%111 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Canucks44c1,139$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Canucks1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Stars57c1,110$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.331148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Canucks42c1,078$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.311,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Canucks48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Stars54c1,033$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.3114539.3%57 W · 88 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Canucks43c1,013$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.5938844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Canucks42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42014451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Canucks8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805425.9%14 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Stars56c999.97$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.994746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Canucks43c999.96$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.481,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Canucks47c980$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars59c960.34$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8441248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Canucks11c927.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…a32abacked Stars52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f3…3861backed Canucks48c899.8$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe46d…0305backed Canucks44c883.49$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.01825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars57c770$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.441,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars60c735.47$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.1928842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Canucks28c713$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.646639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Stars57c703$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2947051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Stars57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7523047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Canucks42c691$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.221,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Stars57c690$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.79660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Stars60c664$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.492,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Canucks46c651.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Canucks21c617.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.366937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Stars59c601.19$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.496640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars56c600$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3119548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Canucks42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25253050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…1443backed Stars56c573.47$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Canucks47c558.19$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.016063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Canucks42c555$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.11,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Stars57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3223653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Stars58c517.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9116753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Stars54c511.24$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8927357.5%157 W · 116 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe214…e516backed Stars58c501.96$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Stars57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed Canucks20c500$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981520%3 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…0a4ebacked Stars58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Canucks44c470.45$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20749746.5%231 W · 266 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Canucks48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003735.1%13 W · 24 L-8.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Stars65c402.63$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6260141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Stars56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1762650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1237backed Canucks42c399.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Canucks36c384.02$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2519555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Canucks40c372.52$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.031,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Stars54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.375837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Stars69c362.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Stars57c357$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5187447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.