NHL · resolved market
SHL: Timraa vs. Linkoeping
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ed7e2ea812250f578ef8b5b747731a89eb24a47672f49727b1df1d4ca35f6e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linkoepingof Timraa, Linkoeping
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timraa | 65c | 904.61$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.4 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Linkoeping | 36c | 310$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Linkoeping | 34c | 183$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…e4d2backed Linkoeping | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…10febacked Linkoeping | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Linkoeping | 39c | 102$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…57d3backed Linkoeping | 37c | 97.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Linkoeping | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Linkoeping | 33c | 92.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Linkoeping | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Timraa | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Timraa | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Linkoeping | 52c | 76.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…be24backed Timraa | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…3058backed Timraa | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…8995backed Linkoeping | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Linkoeping | 35c | 64.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…a325backed Timraa | 63c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…47edbacked Timraa | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eae…647bbacked Timraa | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…d2d2backed Timraa | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39f…de3bbacked Timraa | 63c | 51.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Linkoeping | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Linkoeping | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…7bdcbacked Timraa | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Timraa | 27c | 45.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Linkoeping | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…9031backed Timraa | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Timraa | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Linkoeping | 71c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…f0adbacked Timraa | 62c | 17.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…ba42backed Timraa | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.