F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2827f3767400cb33b8ed82e6a3513a7311a24ce52e4fce039636fa280aeba8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 7,914$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 5,677$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.36 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked Yes | 26c | 1,889$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Yes | 11c | 1,400$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 8c | 1,075$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…f2acbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…0a75backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 8c | 532.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x451e…e237backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…df69backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 15c | 330$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…de46backed Yes | 18c | 320.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4242…f42ebacked Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…2e7ebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 9c | 267.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…accebacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…fb5dbacked Yes | 10c | 196.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…9cb9backed Yes | 8c | 192.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 176.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 13c | 153.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b594backed Yes | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…900abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…ea73backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…4a85backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…2f6bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…a889backed Yes | 16c | 71.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.