TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ac…08d5backed No43c15,795$6,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,782.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8764…6d8fbacked No43c9,403$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes52c8,494$4,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,091.5214356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes57c7,023$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.551070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes50c3,546$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.621060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No44c3,512$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.642050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes56c3,444$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.351612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes54c3,044$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.1811547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2905255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed No44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7724…7e7abacked Yes35c2,325$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e4…6cecbacked Yes57c2,221$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.53650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4c…ecc6backed Yes57c2,109$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7724backed No46c1,860$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes57c1,726$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes57c1,673$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed No45c1,440$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…8a36backed No59c1,352$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes60c1,222$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.682568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c54…257dbacked No55c1,220$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed No45c1,150$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5131233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked Yes55c1,087$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dba…9529backed No63c1,008$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes57c996.45$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.471838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…5b14backed No45c970$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked No64c785.13$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5263…bad3backed No44c725.5$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf2…729ebacked Yes77c542.18$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2157115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed No42c385.46$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.572152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No25c368.83$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes46c334.77$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.282035%7 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick23cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed No62c329.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed No51c313.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb49…97a0backed No7c300.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.251020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed No44c300$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde70…0039backed No68c293.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed Yes39c270.59$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.971233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fb…44c7backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No66c260.19$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7320843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed No62c255$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed1…d134backed Yes43c250$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.26267.7%2 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-80.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked No44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…c276backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No15c221.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9912616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3673…7c89backed Yes57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+194%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No54c209.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.192867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6af…e12fbacked No62c199.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.984134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc31…84d7backed Yes58c171.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd668…ac1ebacked Yes59c169.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd045…8367backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91a1…5d25backed Yes41c167.12$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee72…e4c0backed Yes60c167.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed No44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d8c…b594backed Yes35c155.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.141241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b03…65b0backed Yes49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9024…fcdbbacked Yes59c122.78$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.34850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No54c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7481…43b6backed No43c116.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcab1…b2b1backed No47c115.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed Yes55c115.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.922864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf631…e20fbacked No66c113.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a0…5113backed No29c102.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…0bafbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked No66c99.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Yes40c99.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.715100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed No64c85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd220…92debacked Yes66c84.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1d…ef00backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6c…287cbacked Yes55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2429…06bbbacked Yes55c67.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+336.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c7c…67abbacked Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…9c72backed Yes38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3c…ac4fbacked Yes80c65.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Yes27c64.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+69.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d16…598bbacked Yes34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b3…aa17backed Yes34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No67c57.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.753537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0976…588ebacked No56c56.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2637…8536backed No65c55.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.96728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2b…4a85backed Yes41c52.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1237…de46backed No51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf54…676abacked No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd0…4c12backed No66c47.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a4…7937backed Yes43c46.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…f48fbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…403dbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No28c42.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.856055%33 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6dd…4b12backed No47c41.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef0…f1a9backed Yes56c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d0…8e63backed Yes34c38.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…7478backed Yes43c37.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5918…ea73backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-38.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.