F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the Singapore Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f26db1db70bd1d53ab107c12872bfbe930dc38280400e4b59fea24c20650af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f2…eecfbacked Yes | 22c | 4,558$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 79c | 3,339$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Yes | 35c | 2,160$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 6c | 2,146$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 8c | 1,670$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…94e7backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a5…3126backed Yes | 10c | 1,149$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…3139backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed No | 53c | 880.66$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 15c | 871.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 10c | 822.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 79c | 599.97$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…a823backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…02f3backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…3a6dbacked Yes | 22c | 477.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…e1edbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 21c | 373.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…916bbacked Yes | 10c | 364.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 73c | 300.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 23c | 295.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451e…e237backed Yes | 19c | 270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…e436backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 8c | 235.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…c75fbacked Yes | 16c | 201.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…cde2backed Yes | 12c | 187.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…1564backed Yes | 10c | 170.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…3c0fbacked Yes | 22c | 164.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…df65backed Yes | 14c | 159.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked Yes | 10c | 157.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…accebacked Yes | 13c | 153.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…851ebacked Yes | 20c | 151.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…888bbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…0df7backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…3a78backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 107.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…36c8backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…1304backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 78c | 96.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…8441backed Yes | 15c | 84.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…4ec1backed Yes | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…6dccbacked Yes | 31c | 64.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…5d82backed Yes | 28c | 57.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc3…23b3backed Yes | 21c | 48.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…287cbacked No | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the Singapore Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.