F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd21676ac1c4bec1ffb53517cef4eda06d9469d7a409345f20ad92e73035749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 0c | 6,306$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 64c | 2,555$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.8 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked Yes | 23c | 2,519$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 36c | 1,657$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.65 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 21c | 1,589$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…f2acbacked Yes | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 77c | 847.25$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Yes | 4c | 526.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…0a75backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed No | 79c | 359.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +360.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 33c | 302.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed No | 67c | 299.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…eda2backed Yes | 22c | 282.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 41c | 265.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 61c | 172.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc47…6a90backed Yes | 33c | 158.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b594backed Yes | 23c | 148.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…c9e7backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…89a4backed Yes | 22c | 124.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…4c12backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…3a78backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…9a36backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ba…cdf9backed Yes | 22c | 75.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…7478backed Yes | 22c | 50.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb548…9963backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…aca6backed No | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…45d3backed No | 79c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…06bbbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +336.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…2ea7backed No | 79c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…314abacked No | 79c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Singapore Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Singapore Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.