TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Jaguars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jaguarsof Titans, Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,198,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,449,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,198,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x090a…01b4backed Titans14c187,468$26,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,622.1916836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Titans14c100,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Titans12c41,815$5,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,066.495431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Titans13c40,359$5,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,246.6611145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Titans12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Titans13c18,000$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.9926547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Titans11c17,184$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.2786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc401…1247backed Titans0c16,205$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Titans13c12,687$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.221233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Titans1c11,173$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.971486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Titans0c10,600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Titans13c10,304$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.516226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Titans0c9,557$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017047.1%80 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1100…fc9dbacked Titans0c9,250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Titans11c8,968$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.211,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Titans16c8,924$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.811643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Titans13c8,774$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.574551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Titans15c8,556$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.419645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Titans14c8,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Titans27c7,400$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9983560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2147…f935backed Titans14c5,328$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.251936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Titans1c5,234$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.376219.4%12 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Titans13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.992821.4%6 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Titans14c4,791$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.9614532.4%47 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+77.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Titans13c4,591$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.0453253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Jaguars79c4,578$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.983043.3%13 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Titans10c4,313$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.2831848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Titans11c3,968$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7416045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Titans13c3,867$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7119152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Titans14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013335.3%47 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a8b…72ebbacked Titans14c3,395$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.24825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Titans16c3,202$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Jaguars74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7806051.7%31 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Titans15c2,963$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Titans0c2,428$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.061013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Titans23c2,371$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.6330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Titans12c2,353$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.581,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Titans13c2,331$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0215746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Titans18c2,241$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Titans1c2,221$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.334311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1161…0271backed Titans1c2,145$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Titans11c2,017$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.921618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Titans15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Titans15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Titans16c1,857$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1622450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Titans16c1,689$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.31553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Titans13c1,600$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084647.8%22 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed Titans13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005950.8%30 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Titans13c1,534$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8827348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Titans13c1,511$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4914837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Titans11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Titans3c1,400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Titans11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Jaguars80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.324454.5%24 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Titans14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16827633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Titans13c1,176$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.827152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Titans12c1,167$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0439447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Titans13c1,152$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.311631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Titans18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Titans14c1,085$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7316254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Titans14c1,080$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.23447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Titans15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Titans14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Titans19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Titans11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe819…63a0backed Titans13c770.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Titans14c765.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Titans14c737.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6435648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bca…d32cbacked Titans14c717.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e1d…2751backed Titans14c716.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Titans28c714.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.025349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c25…21e6backed Titans14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1977…32e8backed Titans14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019948.2%96 W · 103 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Titans14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05cb…c743backed Titans13c607.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf8…4919backed Titans13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Titans18c570.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Titans14c557.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1423850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Titans14c555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.77444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Titans12c543.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.511323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Titans4c531.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2510026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Titans12c516$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.711833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Titans10c507.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4631056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b40…b77abacked Titans13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Titans11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510353.4%55 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b3…442cbacked Jaguars75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Titans7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61b…723cbacked Titans7c477.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Titans14c420$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.918736.8%32 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Titans18c416$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.312733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Titans13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523050%15 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Titans14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Titans15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1856…7a8ebacked Titans15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Titans13c327.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6680%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Titans14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Titans13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…b328backed Titans13c296.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.581020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Titans13c295.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.513336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7a…7181backed Titans7c278.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.