TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under53c21,791$11,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,538.8386547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over47c9,985$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,292.0313560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c3,397$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.549447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c2,795$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.6753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c2,229$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.5239447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over44c2,045$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.456647%31 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under51c1,809$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92114641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under9c1,800$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16212748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6e…4ce2backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8972…c02ebacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0948…e6cabacked Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…2b1cbacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d02…e0a8backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6661…e50fbacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b9…eb9bbacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccde…4dfabacked Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ab…58b5backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d0…3721backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…6269backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92e…9df9backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x465c…a271backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf03…6ac6backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ba…e372backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9b…22b0backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2209…145fbacked Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…d5c6backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…c67fbacked Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21fb…6707backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdea6…b879backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0b…45e2backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae9…6864backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b87…af15backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c7…9f1ebacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685f…5449backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…da5dbacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7d…abd3backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a7…3034backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d9…b402backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1a…486dbacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a0…ab1ebacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e9…e194backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf64c…03acbacked Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6004…3f38backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb1…6bc0backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532d…bca6backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348f…3037backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb508…5266backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa92e…4406backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82da…be32backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2e…d710backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…d7d2backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b7…5ed2backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…6097backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…7ddbbacked Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a3…0622backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5581…db98backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c62…f554backed Over51c1,435$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x856b…1742backed Under49c1,435$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Over47c1,428$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.021450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,352$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.891,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under39c1,321$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.4773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c1,287$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64047348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c987.19$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.611,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c973.21$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.7365048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42413959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Under54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2457533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7813752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over47c419.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.596663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21214060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21217656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15916957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c283.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c270.02$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5553253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.510752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.211758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.211859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2399backed Over52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…7046backed Under49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10055345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10859453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c195$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4534652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over61c182$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9835648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.412057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.410958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.411265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.416360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.810461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under12c140.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.829439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over47c140$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.29659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.911856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.615453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.