TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,211 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c4,853$2,349 inLost-$2,348.7986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c3,401$1,666 inWon+$1,734.2953253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over52c3,303$1,701 inWon+$1,601.7720661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost-$1,53051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost-$1,529.9954451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Over49c2,069$1,014 inWon+$1,054.991250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under51c1,598$815 inLost-$815.144452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Over49c1,500$735 inWon+$7651250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c1,293$673 inWon+$619.5565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c993.47$477 inWon+$516.683147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c961.06$490 inLost-$490.141,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c811.55$398 inWon+$413.8939447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over49c400$196 inWon+$20459453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon+$104.084355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Over50c200$100 inWon+$1002560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Under52c192.33$100 inLost-$100.015349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over49c138.78$68 inWon+$70.785164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon+$41.6311054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over50c60$30 inWon+$3011552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over53c56.07$30 inWon+$26.3534652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Under51c37.86$19 inLost-$19.311154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under49c32$16 inLost-$15.684259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over49c30.68$15 inWon+$15.6520944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaafa…dd84backed Under49c21.84$11 inLost-$10.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.