NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f6cac3af3d99cd6bf8846e736f03719f16618e54acc0f43c566f5fe2fc4fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 56,774$28,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,226.17 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,850 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Penguins | 46c | 26,649$12,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,361.59 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Penguins | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 19,100$9,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,740.81 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 13,293$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.33 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…3434backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 12,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 8,522$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.06 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 49c | 7,799$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.13 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,268$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.26 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 6,090$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.99 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Penguins | 52c | 5,987$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.6 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Penguins | 50c | 5,025$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 49c | 4,897$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.53 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 1c | 4,832$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Penguins | 51c | 4,544$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.98 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 0c | 4,302$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 50c | 4,058$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Penguins | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.15 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 49c | 2,552$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.64 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 49c | 2,024$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.71 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.94 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 51c | 1,774$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.77 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,677$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Penguins | 34c | 1,641$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Penguins | 52c | 1,540$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 43c | 1,540$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.21 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Penguins | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,431$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.18 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 50c | 1,416$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.07 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…a0dcbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…6851backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…fe96backed Penguins | 51c | 1,220$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb0…e093backed Penguins | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,093$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.33 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Penguins | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…f064backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Penguins | 40c | 1,006$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.19 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Penguins | 50c | 960.8$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc335…841fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 928$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…f052backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 928$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd247…b156backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 926$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 918$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0906…c09cbacked Penguins | 51c | 909.8$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…42a7backed Penguins | 51c | 909.8$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…bc7abacked Penguins | 51c | 907.84$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…d1e5backed Penguins | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Penguins | 50c | 893$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.03 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 808$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.03 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…6b32backed Penguins | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…c388backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 760$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 720.27$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.55 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 711.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 49c | 692$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…2268backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 680$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…41ecbacked Penguins | 52c | 670$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…f8c7backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…0b56backed Penguins | 52c | 620$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 600$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…d5bcbacked Penguins | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 26c | 550.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Penguins | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 516.63$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.32 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…c20dbacked Penguins | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 468.65$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Penguins | 52c | 452.29$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Penguins | 50c | 416.8$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Penguins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…d774backed Penguins | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…6496backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 398$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.62 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins | 50c | 359.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Penguins | 50c | 351.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 340.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 16c | 340$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 11c | 334.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Penguins | 53c | 296.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Penguins | 50c | 282.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 36c | 280.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Penguins | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Penguins | 18c | 247.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…d5a6backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 243.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Penguins | 51c | 208.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Penguins | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…ec96backed Penguins | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.