F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338cfb50128d1b8d2da0527d04e74e6a7ad127c95b7c5e1ca0f694fb38e31f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 39c | 5,656$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 5,156$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.29 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 26c | 3,635$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.86 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 38c | 1,840$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.92 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 13c | 1,527$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 49c | 1,236$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed No | 79c | 1,104$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 15c | 1,050$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +242%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…6cecbacked Yes | 57c | 985.56$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked No | 80c | 968.24$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…f2acbacked Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Yes | 70c | 590.73$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…df69backed Yes | 38c | 580.03$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…0a75backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 9c | 488$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 9c | 488$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 24c | 445.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 25c | 385.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Yes | 27c | 285.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…d418backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +467.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…c9f9backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b594backed Yes | 16c | 171.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0214…647abacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 53c | 147.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…2f6bbacked Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 26c | 115.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 23c | 112.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 20c | 91.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…ddc6backed Yes | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…ac4fbacked No | 73c | 85.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 25c | 85.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…2534backed Yes | 28c | 83.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 13c | 83.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…f6c4backed Yes | 28c | 71.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…2e7ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf637…fdf0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +284%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ec…dcc2backed Yes | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Yes | 52c | 49.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…f1a9backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.