F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5996f9b3f743c440ed683ba4d8ee08a0218962df53be2af55bd40f96c69e825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 12c | 1,267$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…a823backed Yes | 10c | 906.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 9c | 556.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 18c | 548.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 12c | 499.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…a612backed Yes | 13c | 466.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes | 24c | 412.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…50e4backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0214…647abacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…7f55backed Yes | 13c | 307.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked Yes | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 20c | 256.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked Yes | 13c | 169.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 7c | 166.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…4790backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 33c | 135.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…80ddbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc247…8ad0backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Yes | 19c | 105.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…1e6bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba3…e558backed Yes | 19c | 94.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…ddc6backed Yes | 15c | 73.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed No | 79c | 71.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.