F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb386cfbbd9cf4e419bdb3674af8c4781d615491ff8005885231be83fefa11aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked No | 54c | 2,597$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 34c | 1,904$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.78 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,725$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…14a4backed Yes | 49c | 1,238$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 29c | 1,115$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 37c | 991.16$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.36 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed No | 54c | 923.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 49c | 716.12$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed No | 52c | 669.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 49c | 512$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 49c | 469.89$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 19c | 425$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 12c | 366$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked No | 52c | 343.09$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf790…fd1bbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…c9f9backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…d2ccbacked Yes | 37c | 267.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…c9e7backed No | 72c | 258.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 22c | 252.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 22c | 251.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 49c | 230.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…80ddbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…3e2dbacked Yes | 39c | 192.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…df69backed No | 48c | 188.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…1304backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…afafbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc47…6a90backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 19c | 129.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…9516backed Yes | 38c | 122.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 76c | 109.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…c837backed Yes | 61c | 103.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…4a5abacked Yes | 48c | 103.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b594backed Yes | 20c | 101.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc247…8ad0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…f60fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 37c | 97.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…8536backed No | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…2bcfbacked Yes | 17c | 86.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 73c | 81.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 47c | 61.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…50e0backed No | 53c | 51.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 51c | 39.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…7937backed No | 53c | 37.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba3…e558backed Yes | 35c | 34.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 32c | 33.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 30.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…9e74backed Yes | 51c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…de46backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…1f7abacked Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adb…42dbbacked No | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…3817backed No | 51c | 19.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.