Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc27e681b94252ef9e7897333a54dc8a9747336db21b43059aaf227a9ab091c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guo/Mladenovicof Siniakova/Townsend, Guo/Mladenovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Siniakova/Townsend | 29c | 4,000$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.97 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guo/Mladenovic | 21c | 2,855$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guo/Mladenovic | 36c | 2,596$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Guo/Mladenovic | 49c | 1,130$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.84 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…3dd8backed Siniakova/Townsend | 65c | 982.37$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Guo/Mladenovic | 52c | 954.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 14c | 848.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.96 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…f8d4backed Siniakova/Townsend | 52c | 800.59$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.31 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guo/Mladenovic | 41c | 781.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 37c | 756.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Guo/Mladenovic | 44c | 643.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.17 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 34c | 626.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.77 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Siniakova/Townsend | 52c | 594.92$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Guo/Mladenovic | 30c | 536.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.8 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Siniakova/Townsend | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…28adbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 52c | 371.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Guo/Mladenovic | 47c | 370.39$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Guo/Mladenovic | 20c | 350$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guo/Mladenovic | 43c | 259.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Guo/Mladenovic | 39c | 253.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Guo/Mladenovic | 13c | 188.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Guo/Mladenovic | 45c | 179.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Guo/Mladenovic | 10c | 174.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Siniakova/Townsend | 59c | 170.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04df…3e79backed Guo/Mladenovic | 47c | 158.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Siniakova/Townsend | 61c | 128.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 163 | 72.4%118 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…1b54backed Siniakova/Townsend | 60c | 126.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Guo/Mladenovic | 35c | 104.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Guo/Mladenovic | 12c | 100.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677a…c1f4backed Siniakova/Townsend | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Guo/Mladenovic | 43c | 98.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Guo/Mladenovic | 21c | 98.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Guo/Mladenovic | 13c | 88.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…49edbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 33c | 75.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Guo/Mladenovic | 39c | 74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Siniakova/Townsend | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Siniakova/Townsend | 45c | 66.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Guo/Mladenovic | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c3…7f0fbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 55c | 56.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Siniakova/Townsend | 60c | 49.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Guo/Mladenovic | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…e688backed Siniakova/Townsend | 79c | 38.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Siniakova/Townsend | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Siniakova/Townsend | 65c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb016…a361backed Siniakova/Townsend | 76c | 30.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Siniakova/Townsend | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Siniakova/Townsend | 53c | 19.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Siniakova/Townsend | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.