TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dragon Ranger Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf280…d801backed Dragon Ranger Gaming47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.993737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Dragon Ranger Gaming69c1,455$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.451963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming15c1,379$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.081,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Bilibili Gaming13c1,216$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9850944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Bilibili Gaming53c1,126$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5988347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Bilibili Gaming45c889$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.4646347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Bilibili Gaming52c877.22$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.0914850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Bilibili Gaming57c601.68$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.3463955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Dragon Ranger Gaming47c593.54$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.656637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bilibili Gaming27c589.2$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.431,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Bilibili Gaming41c571.96$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4826758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming11c539.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.341,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Bilibili Gaming7c504.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3884838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dragon Ranger Gaming51c478.42$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming79c434.16$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.961553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd4…91f7backed Bilibili Gaming50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Bilibili Gaming19c395.4$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4660022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dragon Ranger Gaming44c384.28$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.031,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae3f…defebacked Bilibili Gaming57c357.67$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.373174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2eef…28adbacked Bilibili Gaming57c341.65$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd53f…6fbebacked Bilibili Gaming62c318.15$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Bilibili Gaming16c299.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c53…69fbbacked Bilibili Gaming58c276.21$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming55c254.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0440944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Bilibili Gaming11c235.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.779838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Bilibili Gaming57c223.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.251,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Bilibili Gaming48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.816950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Bilibili Gaming13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.575343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Bilibili Gaming11c195$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3574642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming29c193.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1579650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming50c190.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1713741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bilibili Gaming8c176.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4477744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bilibili Gaming8c163$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5457151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Bilibili Gaming51c157.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3878562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Bilibili Gaming23c150.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7452050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Dragon Ranger Gaming47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.536145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e99…0a26backed Bilibili Gaming17c141$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.971315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Bilibili Gaming13c140.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.568625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce13…f0cbbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming78c140.32$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming52c128.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.475360.4%32 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Bilibili Gaming25c125$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4355348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Bilibili Gaming21c117.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3421153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Bilibili Gaming12c117.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8823644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Bilibili Gaming45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed Dragon Ranger Gaming46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming55c106.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1216347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming46c106.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8465347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Bilibili Gaming48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4834443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Bilibili Gaming54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Bilibili Gaming16c98.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4935331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed Dragon Ranger Gaming43c87.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.158444%37 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Bilibili Gaming58c86.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508852.3%46 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bilibili Gaming14c86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1470043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Bilibili Gaming49c85.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Bilibili Gaming21c79.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5711149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming58c77.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6712949.6%64 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Bilibili Gaming17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.612161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Bilibili Gaming43c69.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Bilibili Gaming58c68.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406572.3%47 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1811735%41 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Bilibili Gaming44c61.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9727847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Bilibili Gaming45c52.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8113446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Dragon Ranger Gaming71c51.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8539166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming46c51.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6342051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Bilibili Gaming32c50.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1924140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce61…a87fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.055158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b7…a214backed Dragon Ranger Gaming46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Bilibili Gaming50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilibili Gaming45c49.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dragon Ranger Gaming43c48.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7751749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8218457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragon Ranger Gaming49c40.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.781,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7312261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Bilibili Gaming53c29.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Bilibili Gaming50c24.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.293959%23 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Bilibili Gaming47c23.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.766955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Bilibili Gaming57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.425141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.