Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61aad18aa6bec85cfee34ced5b6f2e3a25608650d37a843bbf91348b2e531893
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2775…3652backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 45c | 1,821$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.68 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 29c | 1,729$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.31 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 833.93$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 784.48$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.29 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 29c | 763$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.87 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 34c | 698$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.68 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 667.28$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.35 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 62c | 559.33$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.27 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 372.38$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.42 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 52c | 344.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 28c | 298.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 291.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 272.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 44c | 244.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 241.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 31c | 209$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 31c | 201$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 30c | 193$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 188.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 177.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 32c | 169.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 25c | 166$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 51c | 165$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 29c | 163$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 30c | 161.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 160.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 33c | 149.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 27c | 135.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 122.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 26c | 121.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 45c | 110.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 53c | 108.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 33c | 108.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 52c | 107.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 33c | 96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 90.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 52c | 79.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 40c | 68.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 34c | 68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 48.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 42.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 41.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 37.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 48c | 36.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 47c | 31.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0c9abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 44c | 24.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)Dragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.