TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5a21…9318backed Yes71c4,962$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.862,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes60c4,642$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.618028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes77c4,551$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.352070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes53c3,661$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.6952522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No37c3,626$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.42,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes79c3,502$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.398133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed No21c3,229$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.074420.5%9 W · 35 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24db…50babacked Yes79c3,143$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No21c2,332$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.976126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08be…3eb1backed No13c2,327$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.491650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No71c2,167$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.0743835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b28…c3ecbacked No23c2,149$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes77c2,037$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5616946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f8…38b5backed Yes58c1,900$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.75158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes77c1,887$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.1125244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb229…8e56backed Yes80c1,399$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803517.1%6 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes68c1,274$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77f8…569fbacked Yes78c1,200$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No22c1,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9818545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes76c1,189$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.467742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No28c1,118$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0764850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No24c1,008$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3321958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.353053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f82…efe0backed Yes15c999.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.892944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes67c926.76$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.722948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No34c915.59$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1365651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No20c910.4$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0814553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c52…6d42backed No24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No46c614.58$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5347648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes53c592.4$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3912735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed Yes17c590$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.78735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes56c470.66$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1118139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No23c465.76$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6623750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes72c458.87$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No44c447.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.372247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes78c428.1$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No37c383.68$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4328554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No51c377.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Yes15c361.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4516841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes57c352.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.198140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes53c347.61$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.384136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes9c299.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.996098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes78c299.96$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7910847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes77c293$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3925638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No13c287.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes14c283.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.192,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+210.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f56…5a5cbacked Yes20c255.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.661735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No62c244.08$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5922623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c237$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.722,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes78c234.05$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.493531.4%11 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No20c228$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.620652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2c…b029backed No22c226.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac6…5fb4backed Yes79c222.67$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.672835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No22c221$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6224058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29ce…5c88backed No23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-78.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes13c208.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3219345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No55c206$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1417558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No46c200.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0817632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9816646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b2…5203backed No23c192.07$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.182646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes57c190$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.416741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1d…aa25backed No23c186.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed Yes56c182.86$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.862157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No44c182.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0630241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No47c176.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9119445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8153…7ad4backed Yes23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.911216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cbc…26c6backed No23c172.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405435.2%19 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed No20c172$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.427227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes48c170$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.711241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5337…329abacked No46c167$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes16c160.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.697799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No50c156.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.831,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes49c153.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9842640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81dc…b283backed No23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No71c145.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6f2…3ef5backed Yes71c141.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.552774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+58.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No39c140.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2828256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No37c136.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf9…9530backed Yes29c136.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.421747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6a…a294backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-74.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes50c123.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9612038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked No22c121.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.832544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No22c120.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5813437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.710454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9f…6610backed Yes53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+43.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01e5…9342backed Yes50c105.96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.984656.5%26 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10541.9%1 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936a…7a5abacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868525.9%22 W · 63 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc348…2a83backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes17c96.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9512847.7%61 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebc…9b11backed No23c94.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…88e7backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+82.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5cd…6055backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Yes49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464450%22 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No21c88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4840649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No30c87.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0818636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No41c86.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3715158.3%88 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.