MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8bd0c647ff9237e77240b99d93bd0aba18213748744f2d3c2d8f18d063e5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Athletics | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.85 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 137,604$75,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,921.74 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 57,765$35,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,821.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 44c | 21,876$9,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,583.63 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Athletics | 9c | 21,360$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.37 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 21,292$11,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,951.87 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 20,985$15,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Athletics | 39c | 19,123$7,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,457.95 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 18,903$11,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,372.11 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 45c | 17,201$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 16,189$8,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,308.13 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Athletics | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 26c | 9,394$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 9,030$5,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 6,988$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.54 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 6,653$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 6,278$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.53 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Athletics | 36c | 6,007$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.46 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics | 21c | 5,190$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf776…bd5cbacked Athletics | 21c | 4,612$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 4,545$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 4,509$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.26 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 4,459$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.44 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 9c | 3,809$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.7 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Athletics | 44c | 3,586$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.84 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics | 0c | 3,425$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed Athletics | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,518$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.26 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.41 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,329$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 45c | 2,226$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,027$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.31 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Athletics | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,634$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.31 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 9c | 1,609$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 1,463$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,157$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,108$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.26 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,098$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.16 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 2c | 1,024$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Athletics | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 982.14$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.96 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 893.29$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.98 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 892.85$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.78 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 890.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.91 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 45c | 889.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.63 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 814$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.44 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Athletics | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 739.74$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 36c | 736.37$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Athletics | 20c | 669.74$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Athletics | 47c | 636.64$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.22 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 46c | 610$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 542.26$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 536.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.21 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 535.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Athletics | 46c | 535.66$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.29 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 528.35$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Athletics | 2c | 500.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 23c | 497.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Athletics | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 431.04$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 407$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 47c | 374.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Athletics | 23c | 362.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Athletics | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…3ef5backed Athletics | 41c | 342.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Athletics | 46c | 340$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Athletics | 40c | 335.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Athletics | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 10c | 305.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 302.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 290$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 51c | 283.44$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Athletics | 44c | 282$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 46c | 280$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics | 45c | 277.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Athletics | 27c | 275.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Athletics | 49c | 273.19$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 269.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 262.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Miami Marlins | 71c | 262$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Athletics | 17c | 242$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 46c | 238.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 46c | 230$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 46c | 230$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Athletics | 45c | 227.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.