TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
largadosypeladosof UNO MILLE, largadosypelados
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked largadosypelados70c22,376$15,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,791.735,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed largadosypelados69c9,493$6,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.252,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed UNO MILLE29c5,500$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.981,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6b…8132backed largadosypelados75c4,859$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed UNO MILLE28c2,906$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.2312244.3%54 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed UNO MILLE32c2,889$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.532,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed UNO MILLE28c2,255$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.131,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed UNO MILLE28c2,071$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58622044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed UNO MILLE33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed UNO MILLE32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64060143.1%259 W · 342 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed UNO MILLE31c1,961$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.9340341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed largadosypelados69c1,952$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.8747655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UNO MILLE28c1,935$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.41,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed UNO MILLE31c1,916$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.362536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed largadosypelados71c1,750$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.632461.4%199 W · 125 L+23.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked UNO MILLE22c1,546$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.983,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0396…4ae7backed UNO MILLE31c1,506$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked UNO MILLE29c1,495$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5722645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed UNO MILLE32c1,372$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4395133.3%17 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed UNO MILLE27c1,334$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8934626.9%93 W · 253 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked UNO MILLE39c1,333$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.6928440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked UNO MILLE29c1,188$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.361,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked UNO MILLE30c1,183$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35052936.3%192 W · 337 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked UNO MILLE28c1,149$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5934340.8%140 W · 203 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed largadosypelados70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.852,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed UNO MILLE32c815.12$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8423732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed UNO MILLE30c809.92$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.795536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE31c741.13$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.097,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed largadosypelados70c714.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2861055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed UNO MILLE30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed UNO MILLE26c658$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.435,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0c13backed UNO MILLE28c616.94$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.52825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked largadosypelados71c583.89$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.422,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed UNO MILLE32c571.68$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed UNO MILLE34c571.39$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7882142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked UNO MILLE37c542$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5431647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed largadosypelados75c508.72$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9830155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed UNO MILLE28c505.62$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9433146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ff…d3febacked largadosypelados68c504.67$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed UNO MILLE27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed UNO MILLE30c496.08$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7637848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed largadosypelados62c483.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9285358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1245…e0afbacked UNO MILLE27c478.78$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.273432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa063…f09ebacked largadosypelados66c472.82$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked UNO MILLE30c470$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415827.6%16 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7bc…e929backed largadosypelados66c464.73$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed UNO MILLE32c458.53$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4824940.6%101 W · 148 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…4cddbacked largadosypelados68c454.77$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE38c436.9$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.866,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed UNO MILLE33c434.55$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14270060.1%421 W · 279 L+70.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked largadosypelados60c420$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16826245.4%119 W · 143 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed UNO MILLE30c415$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.57245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed UNO MILLE8c408.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.132,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0e…b995backed UNO MILLE28c392$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.762272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed largadosypelados71c391$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3414356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b91…9b49backed largadosypelados69c378.78$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed UNO MILLE29c368.86$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.326144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8b…f9cfbacked largadosypelados64c368.63$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked largadosypelados71c368$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.376344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked largadosypelados63c367.22$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2211560.9%70 W · 45 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed UNO MILLE28c345$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.683643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed UNO MILLE32c328.47$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1148939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…7b0fbacked largadosypelados69c326.56$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…4a6fbacked largadosypelados70c325.66$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed largadosypelados72c324.37$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.961,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked largadosypelados66c320.65$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6581744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99f…f002backed largadosypelados64c310.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed UNO MILLE28c310.71$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710541%43 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed largadosypelados60c306.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7167951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1974…8925backed largadosypelados69c294.02$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…31d0backed largadosypelados70c273.12$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked UNO MILLE30c270$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8148941.9%205 W · 284 L-14.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked UNO MILLE33c263$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.491030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed UNO MILLE28c262$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3615648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde57…666fbacked UNO MILLE32c260.3$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.595133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed UNO MILLE28c258.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9532544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed UNO MILLE15c255$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6539540.3%159 W · 236 L+29.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01b2…f667backed largadosypelados69c240.76$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed UNO MILLE33c239.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7921052.4%110 W · 100 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed UNO MILLE35c235.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.313246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4186…aa5abacked largadosypelados69c232.19$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed UNO MILLE31c228.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5612533.6%42 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6670…d9cabacked largadosypelados69c225.06$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed UNO MILLE29c224.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9841437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4229…9592backed UNO MILLE27c218.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked UNO MILLE31c208.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.315,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed UNO MILLE41c206$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4675048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed largadosypelados59c203.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3922150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked largadosypelados71c200.21$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2622647.3%107 W · 119 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed UNO MILLE36c189$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.522,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ff…b842backed UNO MILLE30c186.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked UNO MILLE27c163.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9249149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a66…fa83backed UNO MILLE26c161.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed largadosypelados63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7340455.4%224 W · 180 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNO MILLE31c158.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.455,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed UNO MILLE37c151.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.044,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked largadosypelados71c150.41$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.151,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed UNO MILLE24c142.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1456239.5%222 W · 340 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeae…a2fabacked largadosypelados71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffae…55c0backed UNO MILLE28c139.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911632.8%38 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.