TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
5starof 5star, Alter Ego
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked 5star50c7,239$3,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.5292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed 5star55c5,839$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.2524551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alter Ego55c4,423$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.216,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 5star47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alter Ego56c3,137$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.265,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 5star47c3,004$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.981,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x980f…6416backed Alter Ego58c2,350$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.981838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Alter Ego56c2,300$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.9943951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alter Ego47c2,108$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.513,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Alter Ego50c1,900$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.312,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 5star50c1,528$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.832,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed 5star50c1,527$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.9441050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alter Ego53c1,273$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.551,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b17…672ebacked 5star67c1,256$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.751250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed 5star52c1,100$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.4561054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 5star39c1,060$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.891,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alter Ego47c1,005$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.057,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Alter Ego50c963.96$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5229154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Alter Ego53c939.13$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.063154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed Alter Ego53c892$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.764129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Alter Ego53c865$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.457332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Alter Ego52c839.15$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4395644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Alter Ego3c800$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.470%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed 5star50c799.99$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39930155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2526…218ebacked Alter Ego55c708.68$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.024973.5%36 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Alter Ego61c700$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42817759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Alter Ego48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Alter Ego42c650$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27427940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Alter Ego50c608.56$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked 5star50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed Alter Ego65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Alter Ego43c555$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9423244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 5star45c552.89$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.455,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked 5star50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27517240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Alter Ego51c540.42$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.013,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alter Ego57c528.91$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.462,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Alter Ego52c524.69$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0163038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alter Ego50c515.24$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.961,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Alter Ego49c507.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Alter Ego54c502.08$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed 5star48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26020743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Alter Ego49c499.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9955236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alter Ego50c458.56$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.112,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Alter Ego53c443.09$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8446243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Alter Ego36c417.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2629340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 5star47c413.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.425,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed 5star47c412.21$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.721,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Alter Ego50c410.87$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.484753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Alter Ego56c408.38$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0455039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed 5star65c404.84$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9845465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Alter Ego50c395.66$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.422,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Alter Ego44c391.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.935848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed 5star52c389$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.727250%36 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed 5star46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.25558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x130b…a733backed 5star53c379.98$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 5star48c378.59$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.971,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked 5star67c375.75$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5313371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbf9…d60bbacked Alter Ego53c349.57$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.271827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed 5star42c335.09$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.118758.6%51 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Alter Ego49c331$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3445754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Alter Ego47c326.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.92,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f64…9ca2backed Alter Ego68c321.38$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2182665.4%17 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed Alter Ego53c311$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.685742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed 5star59c297.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1824746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed 5star40c297.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.439063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Alter Ego67c296.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alter Ego47c290.96$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.673,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alter Ego59c288.81$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.664,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 5star69c287.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Alter Ego36c285.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4231845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Alter Ego44c284.84$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8960032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed 5star72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483f…3683backed 5star55c270$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.212544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked 5star65c264.07$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.777617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Alter Ego49c262.27$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.814,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb6…5dfbbacked Alter Ego35c260.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Alter Ego55c252.27$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.61,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Alter Ego51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.511242%47 W · 65 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Alter Ego46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11529246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Alter Ego53c240.5$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.245,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed 5star46c237.19$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1977351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked 5star47c231.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6914543.4%63 W · 82 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Alter Ego55c215$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8827037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Alter Ego54c204.58$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed 5star51c199.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1830247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed 5star50c198.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.797374%54 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed 5star51c197$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5335153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Alter Ego50c195.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8927156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alter Ego53c193$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.062,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…3833backed 5star56c180$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.756651.5%34 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed 5star44c176$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5639440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed 5star51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5537949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x285b…df1ebacked Alter Ego62c169.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3915247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 5star46c165.87$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.062,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8084…f4a3backed 5star30c163.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.983727%10 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Alter Ego57c153.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x937e…8022backed 5star31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed 5star47c149.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9913649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…b0e7backed 5star55c146.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.972254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Alter Ego55c146.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1951252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.