TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3561…b0e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.02
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.08
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+57%+$31.84
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.1
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.47
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Group Cbacked Vitality Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.46
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$16.55
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.58
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$123.91
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.82
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.96
Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs Al Ahli (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked Al Ahli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$85.21
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked MASQ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.36
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Julie&cie - Map 2 Winnerbacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.73
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$44.36
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$53.43
Valorant: Fuego vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffsbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$11.98
Valorant: Barça eSports vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.18
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO5) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffsbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+240.9%+$72.26
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.94
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.67
Valorant: la Masia vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Cbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$27.85
Valorant: FURIA Academy vs la Masia (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked la Masia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.22
Valorant: Division One vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$29.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.